Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
Weekly Review and Outlook: USD/JPY Weakened on Dimmer Recovery Outlook and Falling Treasury ...
Dollar was broadly lower last week on deteriorating recovery outlook in US as well as falling treasury yield. USD/JPY made new 2010 low below 86 level while EUR/USD also closed above 1.3 psychological level. However, there were a few developments to note. Firstly, EUR/USD lost much momentum after hitting 1.31
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook
EUR/USD rose further to 1.3106 last week but faced strong resistance from mentioned cluster level of 1.3105/3123 (38.2% retracement of 1.5143 to 1.1875 at 1.3123, 161.8% projection of 1.1875 to 1.2466 from 1.2149 at 1.3105) and turned sideway. Initial bias remains neutral this week and we'll continue to focus on
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
USD/JPY Weekly Outlook
USD/JPY dropped to as low as 85.98 last week and the break of 86.26 confirms that whole decline from 94.97 has resumed. Short term outlook will remain bearish as long as 88.11 resistance holds and current fall should target 84.81 key support level next. Nevertheless, break of 88.11 will indicate
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook
GBP/USD's rally extended to as high as 1.5720 last week. The decisive break of 1.5521 resistance confirmed that whole fall from 1.7043 has completed at 1.4230 already. Initial bias will remains on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 1.7043 to 1.4230 at 1.5968 next. On the downside, below
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
USD/CHF Weekly Outlook
USD/CHF's break of 1.0399 support last week indicates that whole decline from 1.1729 has resumed. Short term outlook will now remain bearish as long as 1.0639 resistance holds. Current decline should target outer trend line support (0.9634, 0.9916, now at 1.0020). Nevertheless, note that break of 1.0639 will indicate that
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
AUD/USD Weekly Outlook
AUD/USD rose to as high as 0.9068 last week before turning sideway. Initial bias remains neutral this week and some more consolidations might be seen first. On the upside, above 0.9068 will indicate that whole choppy rise from 0.8066 has resumed and should target 0.9380/9404 resistance zone. But we'd expect
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
USD/CAD Weekly Outlook
USD/CAD dipped lower last week but after all, it's still bounded in recent converging range. As noted before, price actions from 1.0734 are viewed as sideway consolidation pattern, in form of triangle. Price actions would remain choppy until such pattern completions. On the downside, in case of another fall, we'd
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook
EUR/GBP's fall from 0.8530 extended further last week and the break of 0.8316 support suggests that rebound from 0.8067 is finished. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and further fall should be seen to retest 0.8067 low. On the upside, above 0.8394 will turn intraday bias neutral and
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook
EUR/CHF rose further to as high as 1.3817 last week but faced strong resistance inside 1.3733/4039 zone and reversed. The development suggests that whole recovery from 1.30723 has completed at 1.3817 already. Initial bias remains mildly on the downside for 1.3341 support first. Break will confirm this bearish case and
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook
EUR/JPY rose to as high as 114.72 before retreating. The break of 113.40 resistance indicates that a medium term bottom is formed at 107.30. Hence, while some sideway consolidation might be seen initially this week, we'd expect downside to be contained above 110.00 support and bring another rise. Above 114.72
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/31/2010
GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook
GBP/JPY surged to as high as 137.52 last week before retreating. The break of 136.39 resistance indicates that whole rebound from 126.73 low has resumed. Hence, while some sideway consolidations might been seen initially this week first, downside should be contained well above 130.82 support and bring another rise. Above
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
At this point, EUR/USD is still struggling below mentioned cluster level of 1.3105/3123 (38.2% retracement of 1.5143 to 1.1875 at 1.3123, 161.8% projection of 1.1875 to 1.2466 from 1.2149 at 1.3105) but stays above 1.2968 minor support. We'd stay neutral and continue to focus on reversal signal. Break of 1.2968
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Outlook in GBP/USD remains unchanged. Even though upside momentum in GBP/USD is diminishing mildly, intraday bias remains on the upside with 1.5547 minor support intact. Current rise from 1.4230 is still expected to towards 61.8% retracement of 1.7043 to 1.4230 at 1.5968 next. On the downside, below 1.5547 minor support
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside with 1.0458 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 1.1729 is still expected to continue towards outer trend line support (0.9634, 0.9916, now at 1.0020). On the upside, above 1.0458 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
USD/JPY's fall extends further to as low as 85.98 in early US session. Intraday bias remains on the downside and current decline from 94.97 is expected to continue to retest 84.81 low next. On the upside, above 86.56 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
Mid-Day Report: Dollar Back Under Pressure after GDP Disappointment
Dollar is back under pressures in early US session after Q2 GDP report showed slightly worse than expected growth of 2.4% annualized. The data reflected slowing consumer spending, which dropped from 1.9% to 1.6% in Q2, as well as widened trade deficit from $338b to $426b. Earlier, IMF said note
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
AUD/USD Daily Outlook
AUD/USD continues to stay in tight range below 0.9068 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 0.9068 will indicate that choppy rebound from 0.8066 is still in progress for 0.9380/9404 resistance zone. But we'd expect upside to be limited there to bring another fall to continue the medium
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
USD/CAD's short term outlook is still neutral. Price actions from 1.0734 are viewed as sideway consolidation pattern, in form of triangle. Break of 1.0675 will argue that such consolidation is completed and rise from 0.9929 low is resuming for another high above 1.0851. On the downside, in case of another
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
EUR/USD struggles to break through mentioned cluster level of 1.3105/3123 (38.2% retracement of 1.5143 to 1.1875 at 1.3123, 161.8% projection of 1.1875 to 1.2466 from 1.2149 at 1.3105) and retreats today. Intraday bias remains neutral and we'll continue to focus on reversal signal. Break of 1.2968 minor support will flip
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Action Insight (All Reports)
07/30/2010
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
No change in GBP/USD's outlook. Even though upside momentum in GBP/USD is diminishing mildly, intraday bias remains on the upside with 1.5547 minor support intact. Current rise from 1.4230 is still expected to towards 61.8% retracement of 1.7043 to 1.4230 at 1.5968 next. On the downside, below 1.5547 minor support
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